Football Prediction: Empoli vs Monza

Empoli vs Monza

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

1.36
L W D L W W

SCHEDULED -

0.83

D W L L L W

Kick Off: 30-09-2025 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Empoli and Monza face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Tuesday 30th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Empoli have scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded average of 1.17 goals while Monza scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.59 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Empoli vs Monza is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.49%

Head to Head Record - Empoli vs. Monza

Date	Competition	Match
09-05-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Monza	- (HT -)	Empoli
30-09-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Empoli	- (HT -)	Monza
18-05-2025	Italy Serie A 2024	Monza	1-3 (HT 1-0)	Empoli
17-08-2024	Italy Serie A 2024	Empoli	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Monza
21-01-2024	Italy Serie A 2023	Empoli	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Monza
26-08-2023	Italy Serie A 2023	Monza	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Empoli
04-03-2023	Italy Serie A 2022	Monza	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Empoli
15-10-2022	Italy Serie A 2022	Empoli	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Monza

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		09-05-2026
Monza	- (HT -)	Empoli
Italy Serie B		30-09-2025
Empoli	- (HT -)	Monza
Italy Serie A		18-05-2025
Monza	1-3 (HT 1-0)	Empoli
Italy Serie A		17-08-2024
Empoli	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Monza
Italy Serie A		21-01-2024
Empoli	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Monza
Italy Serie A		26-08-2023
Monza	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Empoli
Italy Serie A		04-03-2023
Monza	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Empoli
Italy Serie A		15-10-2022
Empoli	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Monza