Football Prediction: Bari vs Padova

Bari vs Padova

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Comunale San Nicola

2.13
D L L D L W

SCHEDULED -

0.54

D L L L L L

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Bari and Padova face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bari have scored an average of 1.13 goals and conceded average of 1.13 goals while Padova scored 0.50 goals and conceded 2.25 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bari vs Padova is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.23%

Head to Head Record - Bari vs. Padova

Date	Competition	Match
21-02-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Padova	- (HT -)	Bari
04-10-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Bari	- (HT -)	Padova
31-07-2022	Italy Coppa Italia 2022	Bari	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Padova

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		21-02-2026
Padova	- (HT -)	Bari
Italy Serie B		04-10-2025
Bari	- (HT -)	Padova
Italy Coppa Italia		31-07-2022
Bari	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Padova