Football Prediction: Spezia vs Palermo

Spezia vs Palermo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco

1.51
L D W W W L

SCHEDULED -

1.14

L D W L L W

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Spezia and Palermo face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Spezia have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Palermo scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.69 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Spezia vs Palermo is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.58%

Head to Head Record - Spezia vs. Palermo

Date	Competition	Match
17-01-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Palermo	- (HT -)	Spezia
04-10-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Spezia	- (HT -)	Palermo
09-02-2025	Italy Serie B 2024	Spezia	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Palermo
01-12-2024	Italy Serie B 2024	Palermo	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Spezia
01-05-2024	Italy Serie B 2023	Spezia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Palermo
23-10-2023	Italy Serie B 2023	Palermo	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Spezia

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		17-01-2026
Palermo	- (HT -)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		04-10-2025
Spezia	- (HT -)	Palermo
Italy Serie B		09-02-2025
Spezia	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Palermo
Italy Serie B		01-12-2024
Palermo	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		01-05-2024
Spezia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Palermo
Italy Serie B		23-10-2023
Palermo	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Spezia