Football Prediction: Spezia vs Padova

Spezia vs Padova

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco

1.44
L D W W W L

SCHEDULED -

0.62

L L L

Kick Off: 28-10-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Spezia and Padova face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Tuesday 28th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Spezia have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Padova scored 0.50 goals and conceded 3.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Spezia vs Padova is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 65.81%

Head to Head Record - Spezia vs. Padova

Date	Competition	Match
03-03-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Padova	- (HT -)	Spezia
28-10-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Spezia	- (HT -)	Padova

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		03-03-2026
Padova	- (HT -)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		28-10-2025
Spezia	- (HT -)	Padova