Football Prediction: Spezia vs Modena

Spezia vs Modena

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco

1.75
L D W W W L

SCHEDULED -

1.55

L D L L W L

Kick Off: 13-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Spezia and Modena face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Saturday 13th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Spezia have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Modena scored 1.15 goals and conceded 1.55 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Spezia vs Modena is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 58.12%

Head to Head Record - Spezia vs. Modena

Date	Competition	Match
14-03-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Modena	- (HT -)	Spezia
13-12-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Spezia	- (HT -)	Modena
15-02-2025	Italy Serie B 2024	Modena	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Spezia
02-11-2024	Italy Serie B 2024	Spezia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Modena
25-02-2024	Italy Serie B 2023	Modena	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Spezia
26-12-2023	Italy Serie B 2023	Spezia	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Modena

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		14-03-2026
Modena	- (HT -)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		13-12-2025
Spezia	- (HT -)	Modena
Italy Serie B		15-02-2025
Modena	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		02-11-2024
Spezia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Modena
Italy Serie B		25-02-2024
Modena	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		26-12-2023
Spezia	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Modena