Football Prediction: Spezia vs Empoli

Spezia vs Empoli

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco

1.32
L D W W W L

SCHEDULED -

0.95

L W W L L L

Kick Off: 17-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Spezia and Empoli face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Tuesday 17th of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Spezia have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Empoli scored 0.98 goals and conceded 1.63 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Spezia vs Empoli is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.31%

Head to Head Record - Spezia vs. Empoli

Date	Competition	Match
17-03-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Spezia	- (HT -)	Empoli
13-09-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Empoli	- (HT -)	Spezia
11-02-2023	Italy Serie A 2022	Empoli	2-2 (HT 0-2)	Spezia
14-08-2022	Italy Serie A 2022	Spezia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Empoli
09-04-2022	Italy Serie A 2021	Empoli	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Spezia
19-12-2021	Italy Serie A 2021	Spezia	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Empoli

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		17-03-2026
Spezia	- (HT -)	Empoli
Italy Serie B		13-09-2025
Empoli	- (HT -)	Spezia
Italy Serie A		11-02-2023
Empoli	2-2 (HT 0-2)	Spezia
Italy Serie A		14-08-2022
Spezia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Empoli
Italy Serie A		09-04-2022
Empoli	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Spezia
Italy Serie A		19-12-2021
Spezia	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Empoli