Football Prediction: Spezia vs Mantova

Spezia vs Mantova

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco

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Kick Off: 11-04-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Spezia and Mantova face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Saturday 11th of April 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Spezia have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Mantova scored 1.13 goals and conceded 1.96 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Spezia vs Mantova is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 100.00%

Head to Head Record - Spezia vs. Mantova

Date	Competition	Match
11-04-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Spezia	- (HT -)	Mantova
22-11-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Mantova	- (HT -)	Spezia
13-04-2025	Italy Serie B 2024	Mantova	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Spezia
26-12-2024	Italy Serie B 2024	Spezia	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Mantova

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		11-04-2026
Spezia	- (HT -)	Mantova
Italy Serie B		22-11-2025
Mantova	- (HT -)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		13-04-2025
Mantova	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Spezia
Italy Serie B		26-12-2024
Spezia	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Mantova