Football Prediction: Ajax vs FC Volendam

Ajax vs FC Volendam

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena

2.44
D W D W W D

SCHEDULED -

0.93

D D D D L W

Kick Off: 24-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Ajax and FC Volendam face each other in the Netherlands Eredivisie match on Saturday 24th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.40 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Ajax have scored an average of 2.57 goals and conceded average of 2.57 goals while FC Volendam scored 1.00 goals and conceded 2.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Ajax vs FC Volendam is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65.49%

Head to Head Record - Ajax vs. FC Volendam

Date	Competition	Match
24-01-2026	Netherlands Eredivisie 2025	Ajax	- (HT -)	FC Volendam
30-08-2025	Netherlands Eredivisie 2025	FC Volendam	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Ajax
05-05-2024	Netherlands Eredivisie 2023	FC Volendam	1-4 (HT 0-1)	Ajax
02-11-2023	Netherlands Eredivisie 2023	Ajax	2-0 (HT 0-0)	FC Volendam
26-01-2023	Netherlands Eredivisie 2022	Ajax	1-1 (HT 0-0)	FC Volendam
08-10-2022	Netherlands Eredivisie 2022	FC Volendam	2-4 (HT 0-2)	Ajax

Competition		Date
Netherlands Eredivisie		24-01-2026
Ajax	- (HT -)	FC Volendam
Netherlands Eredivisie		30-08-2025
FC Volendam	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie		05-05-2024
FC Volendam	1-4 (HT 0-1)	Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie		02-11-2023
Ajax	2-0 (HT 0-0)	FC Volendam
Netherlands Eredivisie		26-01-2023
Ajax	1-1 (HT 0-0)	FC Volendam
Netherlands Eredivisie		08-10-2022
FC Volendam	2-4 (HT 0-2)	Ajax