Tuesday 5th of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Excelsior vs Ajax

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion Woudestein

This is Logo of Home Team: Excelsior 1.20
D W W W L W
SCHEDULED -
2.22 This is Logo of Away Team: Ajax
W D L D L W
Kick Off: 31-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for away result - 2 Away WIN
Excelsior and Ajax face each other in the Netherlands Eredivisie match on Saturday 31st of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.89 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Excelsior have scored an average of 1.42 goals and conceded average of 1.42 goals while Ajax scored 2.08 goals and conceded 1.18 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Excelsior vs Ajax is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.51%

Head to Head Record - Excelsior vs. Ajax

Date Competition Match
31-01-2026 Netherlands Eredivisie 2025 Excelsior - (HT -) Ajax
22-11-2025 Netherlands Eredivisie 2025 Ajax - (HT -) Excelsior
24-04-2024 Netherlands Eredivisie 2023 Ajax 2-2 (HT 1-1) Excelsior
19-08-2023 Netherlands Eredivisie 2023 Excelsior 2-2 (HT 1-1) Ajax
29-01-2023 Netherlands Eredivisie 2022 Excelsior 1-4 (HT 1-2) Ajax
16-10-2022 Netherlands Eredivisie 2022 Ajax 7-1 (HT 3-0) Excelsior
13-04-2019 Netherlands Eredivisie 2018 Ajax 6-2 (HT 3-1) Excelsior
11-11-2018 Netherlands Eredivisie 2018 Excelsior 1-7 (HT 0-2) Ajax
06-05-2018 Netherlands Eredivisie 2017 Excelsior 1-2 (HT 1-0) Ajax
14-12-2017 Netherlands Eredivisie 2017 Ajax 3-1 (HT 1-1) Excelsior
19-03-2017 Netherlands Eredivisie 2016 Excelsior 1-1 (HT 1-1) Ajax
29-10-2016 Netherlands Eredivisie 2016 Ajax 1-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
21-02-2016 Netherlands Eredivisie 2015 Ajax 3-0 (HT 1-0) Excelsior
20-09-2015 Netherlands Eredivisie 2015 Excelsior 0-2 (HT 0-2) Ajax
08-03-2015 Netherlands Eredivisie 2014 Ajax 1-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
21-12-2014 Netherlands Eredivisie 2014 Excelsior 0-2 (HT 0-0) Ajax
26-02-2012 Netherlands Eredivisie 2011 Excelsior 1-4 (HT 0-2) Ajax
03-12-2011 Netherlands Eredivisie 2011 Ajax 4-1 (HT 2-1) Excelsior
24-04-2011 Netherlands Eredivisie 2010 Ajax 4-1 (HT 1-0) Excelsior
24-10-2010 Netherlands Eredivisie 2010 Excelsior 2-2 (HT 2-0) Ajax
Competition Date
Netherlands Eredivisie 31-01-2026
Excelsior - (HT -) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 22-11-2025
Ajax - (HT -) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 24-04-2024
Ajax 2-2 (HT 1-1) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 19-08-2023
Excelsior 2-2 (HT 1-1) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 29-01-2023
Excelsior 1-4 (HT 1-2) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 16-10-2022
Ajax 7-1 (HT 3-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 13-04-2019
Ajax 6-2 (HT 3-1) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 11-11-2018
Excelsior 1-7 (HT 0-2) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 06-05-2018
Excelsior 1-2 (HT 1-0) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 14-12-2017
Ajax 3-1 (HT 1-1) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 19-03-2017
Excelsior 1-1 (HT 1-1) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 29-10-2016
Ajax 1-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 21-02-2016
Ajax 3-0 (HT 1-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 20-09-2015
Excelsior 0-2 (HT 0-2) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 08-03-2015
Ajax 1-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 21-12-2014
Excelsior 0-2 (HT 0-0) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 26-02-2012
Excelsior 1-4 (HT 0-2) Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 03-12-2011
Ajax 4-1 (HT 2-1) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 24-04-2011
Ajax 4-1 (HT 1-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 24-10-2010
Excelsior 2-2 (HT 2-0) Ajax