Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion Woudestein

1.39
L W L W L L

SCHEDULED -

1.77

D D W W W W

Kick Off: 14-02-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Away WIN

Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar face each other in the Netherlands Eredivisie match on Saturday 14th of February 2026. The two teams have met 18 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Excelsior have scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded average of 1.40 goals while AZ Alkmaar scored 1.60 goals and conceded 1.44 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.13%

Head to Head Record - Excelsior vs. AZ Alkmaar

Date	Competition	Match
14-02-2026	Netherlands Eredivisie 2025	Excelsior	- (HT -)	AZ Alkmaar
14-12-2025	Netherlands Eredivisie 2025	AZ Alkmaar	- (HT -)	Excelsior
10-03-2024	Netherlands Eredivisie 2023	AZ Alkmaar	4-0 (HT 3-0)	Excelsior
04-11-2023	Netherlands Eredivisie 2023	Excelsior	1-1 (HT 0-0)	AZ Alkmaar
10-02-2023	Netherlands Eredivisie 2022	AZ Alkmaar	5-0 (HT 5-0)	Excelsior
23-10-2022	Netherlands Eredivisie 2022	Excelsior	2-1 (HT 2-0)	AZ Alkmaar
15-05-2019	Netherlands Eredivisie 2018	Excelsior	4-2 (HT 1-1)	AZ Alkmaar
15-12-2018	Netherlands Eredivisie 2018	AZ Alkmaar	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Excelsior
03-03-2018	Netherlands Eredivisie 2017	Excelsior	1-2 (HT 0-2)	AZ Alkmaar
24-09-2017	Netherlands Eredivisie 2017	AZ Alkmaar	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Excelsior
05-03-2017	Netherlands Eredivisie 2016	AZ Alkmaar	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Excelsior
03-12-2016	Netherlands Eredivisie 2016	Excelsior	3-3 (HT 2-2)	AZ Alkmaar
06-03-2016	Netherlands Eredivisie 2015	AZ Alkmaar	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Excelsior
15-08-2015	Netherlands Eredivisie 2015	Excelsior	2-2 (HT 2-1)	AZ Alkmaar
17-05-2015	Netherlands Eredivisie 2014	Excelsior	1-4 (HT 1-3)	AZ Alkmaar
02-11-2014	Netherlands Eredivisie 2014	AZ Alkmaar	3-3 (HT 1-2)	Excelsior
11-02-2012	Netherlands Eredivisie 2011	AZ Alkmaar	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Excelsior
07-12-2011	Netherlands Eredivisie 2011	Excelsior	0-0 (HT 0-0)	AZ Alkmaar
05-02-2011	Netherlands Eredivisie 2010	Excelsior	2-1 (HT 0-1)	AZ Alkmaar
29-08-2010	Netherlands Eredivisie 2010	AZ Alkmaar	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Excelsior

Competition		Date
Netherlands Eredivisie		14-02-2026
Excelsior	- (HT -)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		14-12-2025
AZ Alkmaar	- (HT -)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		10-03-2024
AZ Alkmaar	4-0 (HT 3-0)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		04-11-2023
Excelsior	1-1 (HT 0-0)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		10-02-2023
AZ Alkmaar	5-0 (HT 5-0)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		23-10-2022
Excelsior	2-1 (HT 2-0)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		15-05-2019
Excelsior	4-2 (HT 1-1)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		15-12-2018
AZ Alkmaar	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		03-03-2018
Excelsior	1-2 (HT 0-2)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		24-09-2017
AZ Alkmaar	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		05-03-2017
AZ Alkmaar	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		03-12-2016
Excelsior	3-3 (HT 2-2)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		06-03-2016
AZ Alkmaar	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		15-08-2015
Excelsior	2-2 (HT 2-1)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		17-05-2015
Excelsior	1-4 (HT 1-3)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		02-11-2014
AZ Alkmaar	3-3 (HT 1-2)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		11-02-2012
AZ Alkmaar	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie		07-12-2011
Excelsior	0-0 (HT 0-0)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		05-02-2011
Excelsior	2-1 (HT 0-1)	AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie		29-08-2010
AZ Alkmaar	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Excelsior

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