Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion Woudestein

This is Logo of Home Team: Excelsior 1.55
W L L L D W
SCHEDULED -
1.69 This is Logo of Away Team: AZ Alkmaar
W W W D W W
Kick Off: 14-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW
Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar face each other in the Netherlands Eredivisie match on Saturday 14th of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.78 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.78 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Excelsior have scored an average of 1.41 goals and conceded average of 1.41 goals while AZ Alkmaar scored 1.60 goals and conceded 1.44 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.80%

Head to Head Record - Excelsior vs. AZ Alkmaar

Date Competition Match
14-02-2026 Netherlands Eredivisie 2025 Excelsior - (HT -) AZ Alkmaar
13-12-2025 Netherlands Eredivisie 2025 AZ Alkmaar - (HT -) Excelsior
10-03-2024 Netherlands Eredivisie 2023 AZ Alkmaar 4-0 (HT 3-0) Excelsior
04-11-2023 Netherlands Eredivisie 2023 Excelsior 1-1 (HT 0-0) AZ Alkmaar
10-02-2023 Netherlands Eredivisie 2022 AZ Alkmaar 5-0 (HT 5-0) Excelsior
23-10-2022 Netherlands Eredivisie 2022 Excelsior 2-1 (HT 2-0) AZ Alkmaar
15-05-2019 Netherlands Eredivisie 2018 Excelsior 4-2 (HT 1-1) AZ Alkmaar
15-12-2018 Netherlands Eredivisie 2018 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 (HT 1-1) Excelsior
03-03-2018 Netherlands Eredivisie 2017 Excelsior 1-2 (HT 0-2) AZ Alkmaar
24-09-2017 Netherlands Eredivisie 2017 AZ Alkmaar 0-2 (HT 0-2) Excelsior
05-03-2017 Netherlands Eredivisie 2016 AZ Alkmaar 1-1 (HT 1-0) Excelsior
03-12-2016 Netherlands Eredivisie 2016 Excelsior 3-3 (HT 2-2) AZ Alkmaar
06-03-2016 Netherlands Eredivisie 2015 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
15-08-2015 Netherlands Eredivisie 2015 Excelsior 2-2 (HT 2-1) AZ Alkmaar
17-05-2015 Netherlands Eredivisie 2014 Excelsior 1-4 (HT 1-3) AZ Alkmaar
02-11-2014 Netherlands Eredivisie 2014 AZ Alkmaar 3-3 (HT 1-2) Excelsior
11-02-2012 Netherlands Eredivisie 2011 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
07-12-2011 Netherlands Eredivisie 2011 Excelsior 0-0 (HT 0-0) AZ Alkmaar
05-02-2011 Netherlands Eredivisie 2010 Excelsior 2-1 (HT 0-1) AZ Alkmaar
29-08-2010 Netherlands Eredivisie 2010 AZ Alkmaar 1-1 (HT 0-1) Excelsior
Competition Date
Netherlands Eredivisie 14-02-2026
Excelsior - (HT -) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 13-12-2025
AZ Alkmaar - (HT -) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 10-03-2024
AZ Alkmaar 4-0 (HT 3-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 04-11-2023
Excelsior 1-1 (HT 0-0) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 10-02-2023
AZ Alkmaar 5-0 (HT 5-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 23-10-2022
Excelsior 2-1 (HT 2-0) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 15-05-2019
Excelsior 4-2 (HT 1-1) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 15-12-2018
AZ Alkmaar 2-1 (HT 1-1) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 03-03-2018
Excelsior 1-2 (HT 0-2) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 24-09-2017
AZ Alkmaar 0-2 (HT 0-2) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 05-03-2017
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 (HT 1-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 03-12-2016
Excelsior 3-3 (HT 2-2) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 06-03-2016
AZ Alkmaar 2-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 15-08-2015
Excelsior 2-2 (HT 2-1) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 17-05-2015
Excelsior 1-4 (HT 1-3) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 02-11-2014
AZ Alkmaar 3-3 (HT 1-2) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 11-02-2012
AZ Alkmaar 2-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 07-12-2011
Excelsior 0-0 (HT 0-0) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 05-02-2011
Excelsior 2-1 (HT 0-1) AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie 29-08-2010
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 (HT 0-1) Excelsior