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Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion

This is Logo of Home Team: Fortuna Sittard 1.94
L W L W W L
SCHEDULED -
1.38 This is Logo of Away Team: Excelsior
L W L W L L
Kick Off: 21-02-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN
Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior face each other in the Netherlands Eredivisie match on Saturday 21st of February 2026. The two teams have met 6 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 2.17 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Fortuna Sittard have scored an average of 1.44 goals and conceded average of 1.44 goals while Excelsior scored 1.10 goals and conceded 2.22 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.65%

Head to Head Record - Fortuna Sittard vs. Excelsior

Date Competition Match
21-02-2026 Netherlands Eredivisie 2025 Fortuna Sittard - (HT -) Excelsior
19-10-2025 Netherlands Eredivisie 2025 Excelsior - (HT -) Fortuna Sittard
03-03-2024 Netherlands Eredivisie 2023 Fortuna Sittard 5-2 (HT 4-0) Excelsior
26-08-2023 Netherlands Eredivisie 2023 Excelsior 2-2 (HT 1-0) Fortuna Sittard
21-05-2023 Netherlands Eredivisie 2022 Excelsior 3-0 (HT 0-0) Fortuna Sittard
17-09-2022 Netherlands Eredivisie 2022 Fortuna Sittard 1-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
10-02-2019 Netherlands Eredivisie 2018 Fortuna Sittard 4-1 (HT 2-0) Excelsior
11-08-2018 Netherlands Eredivisie 2018 Excelsior 1-1 (HT 1-0) Fortuna Sittard
Competition Date
Netherlands Eredivisie 21-02-2026
Fortuna Sittard - (HT -) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 19-10-2025
Excelsior - (HT -) Fortuna Sittard
Netherlands Eredivisie 03-03-2024
Fortuna Sittard 5-2 (HT 4-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 26-08-2023
Excelsior 2-2 (HT 1-0) Fortuna Sittard
Netherlands Eredivisie 21-05-2023
Excelsior 3-0 (HT 0-0) Fortuna Sittard
Netherlands Eredivisie 17-09-2022
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 (HT 0-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 10-02-2019
Fortuna Sittard 4-1 (HT 2-0) Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 11-08-2018
Excelsior 1-1 (HT 1-0) Fortuna Sittard
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