Football Prediction: Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Szczecin

Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Szczecin

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

0.81
W L L W D D

Full Time 2-1

0.78

W W L L D W

Kick Off: 09-08-2025 17:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Arka Gdynia and Pogon Szczecin face each other in the Poland Ekstraklasa match on Saturday 9th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arka Gdynia have scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded average of 1.00 goals while Pogon Szczecin scored 1.35 goals and conceded 1.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arka Gdynia vs Pogon Szczecin is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 78.55%

Head to Head Record - Arka Gdynia vs. Pogon Szczecin

Date	Competition	Match
14-02-2026	Poland Ekstraklasa 2025	Pogon Szczecin	- (HT -)	Arka Gdynia
09-08-2025	Poland Ekstraklasa 2025	Arka Gdynia	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Pogon Szczecin

Competition		Date
Poland Ekstraklasa		14-02-2026
Pogon Szczecin	- (HT -)	Arka Gdynia
Poland Ekstraklasa		09-08-2025
Arka Gdynia	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Pogon Szczecin