Tuesday 19th of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion Miejski w Poznaniu

This is Logo of Home Team: Lech Poznan 2.84
D D L W W W
SCHEDULED -
1.92 This is Logo of Away Team: Jagiellonia
W D W W W W
Kick Off: 27-09-2025 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia face each other in the Poland Ekstraklasa match on Saturday 27th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Lech Poznan have scored an average of 2.14 goals and conceded average of 2.14 goals while Jagiellonia scored 1.60 goals and conceded 1.63 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69.85%

Head to Head Record - Lech Poznan vs. Jagiellonia

Date Competition Match
04-04-2026 Poland Ekstraklasa 2025 Jagiellonia - (HT -) Lech Poznan
27-09-2025 Poland Ekstraklasa 2025 Lech Poznan - (HT -) Jagiellonia
16-03-2025 Poland Ekstraklasa 2024 Jagiellonia 2-1 (HT 1-1) Lech Poznan
14-09-2024 Poland Ekstraklasa 2024 Lech Poznan 5-0 (HT 2-0) Jagiellonia
17-02-2024 Poland Ekstraklasa 2023 Jagiellonia 1-2 (HT 0-2) Lech Poznan
24-10-2023 Poland Ekstraklasa 2023 Lech Poznan 3-3 (HT 2-0) Jagiellonia
Competition Date
Poland Ekstraklasa 04-04-2026
Jagiellonia - (HT -) Lech Poznan
Poland Ekstraklasa 27-09-2025
Lech Poznan - (HT -) Jagiellonia
Poland Ekstraklasa 16-03-2025
Jagiellonia 2-1 (HT 1-1) Lech Poznan
Poland Ekstraklasa 14-09-2024
Lech Poznan 5-0 (HT 2-0) Jagiellonia
Poland Ekstraklasa 17-02-2024
Jagiellonia 1-2 (HT 0-2) Lech Poznan
Poland Ekstraklasa 24-10-2023
Lech Poznan 3-3 (HT 2-0) Jagiellonia