Football Prediction: Jagiellonia vs Arka Gdynia

Jagiellonia vs Arka Gdynia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion w Białymstoku

1.23
W D W W D W

SCHEDULED -

0.44

W L L W D D

Kick Off: 18-10-2025 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Jagiellonia and Arka Gdynia face each other in the Poland Ekstraklasa match on Saturday 18th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Jagiellonia have scored an average of 2.19 goals and conceded average of 2.19 goals while Arka Gdynia scored 0.25 goals and conceded 1.50 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Jagiellonia vs Arka Gdynia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 76.60%

Head to Head Record - Jagiellonia vs. Arka Gdynia

Date	Competition	Match
18-04-2026	Poland Ekstraklasa 2025	Arka Gdynia	- (HT -)	Jagiellonia
18-10-2025	Poland Ekstraklasa 2025	Jagiellonia	- (HT -)	Arka Gdynia

Competition		Date
Poland Ekstraklasa		18-04-2026
Arka Gdynia	- (HT -)	Jagiellonia
Poland Ekstraklasa		18-10-2025
Jagiellonia	- (HT -)	Arka Gdynia