Football Prediction: Pogon Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia

Pogon Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion im. Floriana Krygiera

1.66
L L D W L D

SCHEDULED -

1.12

L W D D L

Kick Off: 14-02-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Pogon Szczecin and Arka Gdynia face each other in the Poland Ekstraklasa match on Saturday 14th of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Pogon Szczecin have scored an average of 2.13 goals and conceded average of 2.13 goals while Arka Gdynia scored 0.33 goals and conceded 1.67 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Pogon Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 69.79%

Head to Head Record - Pogon Szczecin vs. Arka Gdynia

Date	Competition	Match
14-02-2026	Poland Ekstraklasa 2025	Pogon Szczecin	- (HT -)	Arka Gdynia
09-08-2025	Poland Ekstraklasa 2025	Arka Gdynia	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Pogon Szczecin

Competition		Date
Poland Ekstraklasa		14-02-2026
Pogon Szczecin	- (HT -)	Arka Gdynia
Poland Ekstraklasa		09-08-2025
Arka Gdynia	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Pogon Szczecin