Football Prediction: Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia

Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: PGE Arena Gdansk

1.93
L D D L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.64

W D W W W W

Kick Off: 07-03-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Lechia Gdansk and Jagiellonia face each other in the Poland Ekstraklasa match on Saturday 7th of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Lechia Gdansk have scored an average of 1.50 goals and conceded average of 1.50 goals while Jagiellonia scored 1.60 goals and conceded 1.63 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.17%

Head to Head Record - Lechia Gdansk vs. Jagiellonia

Date	Competition	Match
07-03-2026	Poland Ekstraklasa 2025	Lechia Gdansk	- (HT -)	Jagiellonia
31-08-2025	Poland Ekstraklasa 2025	Jagiellonia	- (HT -)	Lechia Gdansk
29-03-2025	Poland Ekstraklasa 2024	Lechia Gdansk	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Jagiellonia
21-09-2024	Poland Ekstraklasa 2024	Jagiellonia	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Lechia Gdansk

Competition		Date
Poland Ekstraklasa		07-03-2026
Lechia Gdansk	- (HT -)	Jagiellonia
Poland Ekstraklasa		31-08-2025
Jagiellonia	- (HT -)	Lechia Gdansk
Poland Ekstraklasa		29-03-2025
Lechia Gdansk	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Jagiellonia
Poland Ekstraklasa		21-09-2024
Jagiellonia	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Lechia Gdansk