Football Prediction: Farense vs Arouca

Farense vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio de São Lúis

1.61
L D D W L D

Full Time 0-1

1.03

W D L W L L

Kick Off: 22-09-2024 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Farense and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 22nd of September 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Farense have scored an average of 1.32 goals and conceded average of 1.32 goals while Arouca scored 1.50 goals and conceded 1.50 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Farense vs Arouca is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.05%

Head to Head Record - Farense vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
23-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	- (HT -)	Farense
23-11-2024	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2024	Arouca	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Farense
22-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Farense	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Arouca
30-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Farense
06-11-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Farense	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-02-2025
Arouca	- (HT -)	Farense
Portugal Taça de Portugal		23-11-2024
Arouca	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Farense
Portugal Primeira Liga		22-09-2024
Farense	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		30-03-2024
Arouca	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Farense
Portugal Primeira Liga		06-11-2023
Farense	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Arouca