Monday 30th of December 2024*All matches in UTC time.

Estrela vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio José Gomes

This is Logo of Home Team: Estrela 1.27
D W L W L L
Full Time 2-1
2.35 This is Logo of Away Team: Arouca
D L W L L L
Kick Off: 09-12-2024 21:15 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for away result - 2 Away WIN
Estrela and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Monday 9th of December 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 4.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estrela have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Arouca scored 1.48 goals and conceded 1.52 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estrela vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 70.13%

Head to Head Record - Estrela vs. Arouca

Date Competition Match
19-04-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Arouca - (HT -) Estrela
09-12-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Estrela 2-1 (HT 0-1) Arouca
05-05-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Arouca 0-0 (HT 0-0) Estrela
28-12-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Estrela 1-4 (HT 1-0) Arouca
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 19-04-2025
Arouca - (HT -) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 09-12-2024
Estrela 2-1 (HT 0-1) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 05-05-2024
Arouca 0-0 (HT 0-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 28-12-2023
Estrela 1-4 (HT 1-0) Arouca