Football Prediction: Estrela vs Arouca

Estrela vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio José Gomes

1.26
L W L D L L

SCHEDULED -

2.35

D L W L L W

Kick Off: 08-12-2024 01:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Estrela and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 8th of December 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 4.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estrela have scored an average of 1.24 goals and conceded average of 1.24 goals while Arouca scored 1.42 goals and conceded 1.54 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estrela vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69.81%

Head to Head Record - Estrela vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
19-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	- (HT -)	Estrela
08-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estrela	- (HT -)	Arouca
05-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
28-12-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estrela	1-4 (HT 1-0)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-04-2025
Arouca	- (HT -)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-12-2024
Estrela	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-05-2024
Arouca	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-12-2023
Estrela	1-4 (HT 1-0)	Arouca