Football Prediction: Guimaraes vs Arouca

Guimaraes vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

1.82
W D L W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.08

L W L L W L

Kick Off: 19-01-2025 01:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Guimaraes and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 19th of January 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Guimaraes have scored an average of 1.92 goals and conceded average of 1.92 goals while Arouca scored 1.42 goals and conceded 1.54 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Guimaraes vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.31%

Head to Head Record - Guimaraes vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
19-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Arouca
12-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Guimaraes
18-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	1-3 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
15-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Guimaraes	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-01-2025
Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		12-08-2024
Arouca	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-05-2024
Arouca	1-3 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-01-2024
Guimaraes	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Arouca