Football Prediction: Arouca vs Farense

Arouca vs Farense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

1.45
L W L L L D

SCHEDULED -

1.39

L D W W D L

Kick Off: 23-02-2025 01:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Arouca and Farense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 23rd of February 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded average of 1.26 goals while Farense scored 1.22 goals and conceded 1.59 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Farense is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.99%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Farense

Date	Competition	Match
23-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	- (HT -)	Farense
23-11-2024	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2024	Arouca	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Farense
22-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Farense	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Arouca
30-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Farense
06-11-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Farense	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-02-2025
Arouca	- (HT -)	Farense
Portugal Taça de Portugal		23-11-2024
Arouca	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Farense
Portugal Primeira Liga		22-09-2024
Farense	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		30-03-2024
Arouca	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Farense
Portugal Primeira Liga		06-11-2023
Farense	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Arouca