Football Prediction: Moreirense vs Guimaraes

Moreirense vs Guimaraes

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

1.16
L W L W W L

SCHEDULED -

0.84

D D W L W D

Kick Off: 30-03-2025 01:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Moreirense and Guimaraes face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 30th of March 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Moreirense have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Guimaraes scored 1.51 goals and conceded 1.14 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Moreirense vs Guimaraes is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.81%

Head to Head Record - Moreirense vs. Guimaraes

Date	Competition	Match
30-03-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
03-11-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Moreirense
30-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Moreirense
05-11-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Moreirense	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Guimaraes

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		30-03-2025
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-11-2024
Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		30-03-2024
Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-11-2023
Moreirense	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Guimaraes