Football Prediction: Guimaraes vs Farense

Guimaraes vs Farense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

1.50
D D D D W L

SCHEDULED -

1.02

D W L D W W

Kick Off: 11-05-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Guimaraes and Farense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 11th of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Guimaraes have scored an average of 1.93 goals and conceded average of 1.93 goals while Farense scored 1.25 goals and conceded 1.57 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Guimaraes vs Farense is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.77%

Head to Head Record - Guimaraes vs. Farense

Date	Competition	Match
11-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Farense
29-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Farense	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
13-04-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Guimaraes	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Farense
02-12-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Farense	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Guimaraes

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		11-05-2025
Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Farense
Portugal Primeira Liga		29-12-2024
Farense	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		13-04-2024
Guimaraes	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Farense
Portugal Primeira Liga		02-12-2023
Farense	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Guimaraes