Football Prediction: Arouca vs Boavista

Arouca vs Boavista

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

1.48
D L W L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.17

L D L D D L

Kick Off: 17-05-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Arouca and Boavista face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 17th of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded average of 1.25 goals while Boavista scored 1.07 goals and conceded 1.69 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Boavista is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.70%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Boavista

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	- (HT -)	Boavista
04-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Boavista	- (HT -)	Arouca
14-04-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Boavista
03-12-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Boavista	0-4 (HT 0-3)	Arouca
26-11-2023	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2023	Arouca	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Boavista

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2025
Arouca	- (HT -)	Boavista
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-01-2025
Boavista	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-04-2024
Arouca	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Boavista
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-12-2023
Boavista	0-4 (HT 0-3)	Arouca
Portugal Taça de Portugal		26-11-2023
Arouca	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Boavista