Football Prediction: Estoril vs Estrela

Estoril vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

1.35
D L L D W D

SCHEDULED -

0.62

D W L W L L

Kick Off: 17-05-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Estoril and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 17th of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estoril have scored an average of 1.32 goals and conceded average of 1.32 goals while Estrela scored 0.59 goals and conceded 1.72 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estoril vs Estrela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 68.41%

Head to Head Record - Estoril vs. Estrela

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estoril	- (HT -)	Estrela
05-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estrela	- (HT -)	Estoril
04-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estoril	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
25-08-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estrela	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Estoril

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2025
Estoril	- (HT -)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-01-2025
Estrela	- (HT -)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-02-2024
Estoril	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		25-08-2023
Estrela	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Estoril