Football Prediction: Moreirense vs Alverca

Moreirense vs Alverca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

0.75
W D L D L L

SCHEDULED -

0.88

D W W D W

Kick Off: 10-08-2025 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Moreirense and Alverca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 10th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Moreirense have scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded average of 1.26 goals while Alverca scored 1.50 goals and conceded 1.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Moreirense vs Alverca is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 77.47%

Head to Head Record - Moreirense vs. Alverca

Date	Competition	Match
18-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Moreirense
10-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Alverca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-01-2026
Alverca	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-08-2025
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Alverca