Saturday 12th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Estrela vs Benfica

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jose Gomes

This is Logo of Home Team: Estrela 1.37
L L L W L L
SCHEDULED -
2.17 This is Logo of Away Team: Benfica
D W W D D D
Kick Off: 17-08-2025 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for away result - 2 Away WIN
Estrela and Benfica face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 17th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estrela have scored an average of 1.18 goals and conceded average of 1.18 goals while Benfica scored 1.51 goals and conceded 1.42 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estrela vs Benfica is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68.59%

Head to Head Record - Estrela vs. Benfica

Date Competition Match
25-01-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Benfica - (HT -) Estrela
17-08-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Estrela - (HT -) Benfica
02-02-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Estrela 2-3 (HT 1-3) Benfica
23-11-2024 Portugal Taça de Portugal 2024 Benfica 7-0 (HT 3-0) Estrela
24-08-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Benfica 1-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
29-01-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Estrela 1-4 (HT 1-2) Benfica
19-08-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Benfica 2-0 (HT 0-0) Estrela
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 25-01-2026
Benfica - (HT -) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 17-08-2025
Estrela - (HT -) Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga 02-02-2025
Estrela 2-3 (HT 1-3) Benfica
Portugal Taça de Portugal 23-11-2024
Benfica 7-0 (HT 3-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 24-08-2024
Benfica 1-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 29-01-2024
Estrela 1-4 (HT 1-2) Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga 19-08-2023
Benfica 2-0 (HT 0-0) Estrela