Football Prediction: Guimaraes vs Estoril

Guimaraes vs Estoril

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio D. Afonso Henriques

2.19
D L W L L L

Full Time 3-2

1.82

D L D W D L

Kick Off: 16-08-2025 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Guimaraes and Estoril face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 16th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Guimaraes have scored an average of 1.85 goals and conceded average of 1.85 goals while Estoril scored 1.50 goals and conceded 1.94 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Guimaraes vs Estoril is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.88%

Head to Head Record - Guimaraes vs. Estoril

Date	Competition	Match
25-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estoril	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
16-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Guimaraes	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Estoril
26-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estoril	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Guimaraes
18-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
02-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estoril	1-3 (HT 0-3)	Guimaraes
01-10-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Guimaraes	3-2 (HT 0-2)	Estoril

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		25-01-2026
Estoril	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-08-2025
Guimaraes	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-01-2025
Estoril	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-08-2024
Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		02-03-2024
Estoril	1-3 (HT 0-3)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-10-2023
Guimaraes	3-2 (HT 0-2)	Estoril