Saturday 30th of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Nacional vs Sporting CP

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

This is Logo of Home Team: Nacional 1.71
L D L L D L
Full Time 1-4
3.45 This is Logo of Away Team: Sporting CP
W W W L D W
Kick Off: 23-08-2025 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for away result - 2 Away WIN
Nacional and Sporting CP face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 23rd of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 6.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Sporting CP scored 2.00 goals and conceded 1.16 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs Sporting CP is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 75.68%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. Sporting CP

Date Competition Match
01-02-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Sporting CP - (HT -) Nacional
23-08-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Nacional 1-4 (HT 1-0) Sporting CP
25-01-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Sporting CP 2-0 (HT 1-0) Nacional
17-08-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Nacional 1-6 (HT 1-2) Sporting CP
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 01-02-2026
Sporting CP - (HT -) Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 23-08-2025
Nacional 1-4 (HT 1-0) Sporting CP
Portugal Primeira Liga 25-01-2025
Sporting CP 2-0 (HT 1-0) Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 17-08-2024
Nacional 1-6 (HT 1-2) Sporting CP