Tuesday 19th of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Arouca vs Casa Pia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Arouca 1.38
L W W D D L
SCHEDULED -
1.60 This is Logo of Away Team: Casa Pia
W L L W D L
Kick Off: 14-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for away result - 2 Away WIN
Arouca and Casa Pia face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 14th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded average of 1.29 goals while Casa Pia scored 1.42 goals and conceded 1.50 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Casa Pia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 65.24%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Casa Pia

Date Competition Match
15-02-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Casa Pia - (HT -) Arouca
14-09-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Arouca - (HT -) Casa Pia
04-05-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Arouca 0-0 (HT 0-0) Casa Pia
20-12-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Casa Pia 3-1 (HT 2-0) Arouca
18-02-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Casa Pia 1-0 (HT 0-0) Arouca
17-09-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Arouca 0-1 (HT 0-0) Casa Pia
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 15-02-2026
Casa Pia - (HT -) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 14-09-2025
Arouca - (HT -) Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 04-05-2025
Arouca 0-0 (HT 0-0) Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 20-12-2024
Casa Pia 3-1 (HT 2-0) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 18-02-2024
Casa Pia 1-0 (HT 0-0) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 17-09-2023
Arouca 0-1 (HT 0-0) Casa Pia