Football Prediction: FC Porto vs Nacional

FC Porto vs Nacional

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Dragon Stadium

1.00
D L D W W W

SCHEDULED -

0.00

L L D L D L

Kick Off: 14-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

FC Porto and Nacional face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 14th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Porto have scored an average of 1.96 goals and conceded average of 1.96 goals while Nacional scored 0.70 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Porto vs Nacional is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 92.03%

Head to Head Record - FC Porto vs. Nacional

Date	Competition	Match
15-02-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	FC Porto
14-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Nacional
17-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	FC Porto	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional
12-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	2-0 (HT 2-0)	FC Porto

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-02-2026
Nacional	- (HT -)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-09-2025
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2025
FC Porto	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		12-01-2025
Nacional	2-0 (HT 2-0)	FC Porto