Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Nacional vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

This is Logo of Home Team: Nacional 2.02
W L D L L D
SCHEDULED -
2.12 This is Logo of Away Team: Arouca
D D L W W D
Kick Off: 20-09-2025 17:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN
Nacional and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 20th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.43 goals and conceded average of 1.43 goals while Arouca scored 1.43 goals and conceded 1.65 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 78.16%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. Arouca

Date Competition Match
22-02-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Arouca - (HT -) Nacional
20-09-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Nacional - (HT -) Arouca
01-02-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Nacional 1-2 (HT 1-2) Arouca
25-08-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Arouca 1-0 (HT 1-0) Nacional
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 22-02-2026
Arouca - (HT -) Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 20-09-2025
Nacional - (HT -) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 01-02-2025
Nacional 1-2 (HT 1-2) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 25-08-2024
Arouca 1-0 (HT 1-0) Nacional