Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Arouca vs FC Porto

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Arouca 1.71
D D L W W D
SCHEDULED -
1.82 This is Logo of Away Team: FC Porto
W W W W D L
Kick Off: 28-09-2025 22:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW
Arouca and FC Porto face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 28th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while FC Porto scored 1.45 goals and conceded 1.12 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs FC Porto is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68.42%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. FC Porto

Date Competition Match
01-03-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 FC Porto - (HT -) Arouca
28-09-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Arouca - (HT -) FC Porto
01-03-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Arouca 0-2 (HT 0-1) FC Porto
29-09-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 FC Porto 4-0 (HT 0-0) Arouca
12-02-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Arouca 3-2 (HT 2-1) FC Porto
03-09-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 FC Porto 1-1 (HT 0-0) Arouca
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 01-03-2026
FC Porto - (HT -) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 28-09-2025
Arouca - (HT -) FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 01-03-2025
Arouca 0-2 (HT 0-1) FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 29-09-2024
FC Porto 4-0 (HT 0-0) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 12-02-2024
Arouca 3-2 (HT 2-1) FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 03-09-2023
FC Porto 1-1 (HT 0-0) Arouca