Football Prediction: Famalicao vs Rio Ave

Famalicao vs Rio Ave

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

1.67
W D W W W L

SCHEDULED -

1.43

D D D D D W

Kick Off: 29-09-2025 22:15 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Famalicao and Rio Ave face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Monday 29th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Famalicao have scored an average of 1.19 goals and conceded average of 1.19 goals while Rio Ave scored 0.93 goals and conceded 1.56 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Famalicao vs Rio Ave is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.69%

Head to Head Record - Famalicao vs. Rio Ave

Date	Competition	Match
01-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Famalicao
29-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Famalicao	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
10-03-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Famalicao	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave
04-10-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Famalicao
16-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Famalicao	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Rio Ave
16-09-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Famalicao

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-03-2026
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga		29-09-2025
Famalicao	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-03-2025
Famalicao	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-10-2024
Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-02-2024
Famalicao	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-09-2023
Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Famalicao