Football Prediction: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca vs Famalicao

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

1.53
D D L W W D

SCHEDULED -

1.54

W D W W W L

Kick Off: 05-10-2025 17:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Arouca and Famalicao face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Famalicao scored 1.26 goals and conceded 1.26 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Famalicao is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.20%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Famalicao

Date	Competition	Match
08-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Famalicao	- (HT -)	Arouca
05-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	Famalicao
05-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Famalicao
09-11-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Famalicao	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Arouca
23-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Famalicao
22-09-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Famalicao	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-03-2026
Famalicao	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-10-2025
Arouca	- (HT -)	Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-04-2025
Arouca	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga		09-11-2024
Famalicao	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-02-2024
Arouca	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga		22-09-2023
Famalicao	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Arouca