Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Arouca vs Famalicao

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Arouca 1.53
D D L W W D
SCHEDULED -
1.54 This is Logo of Away Team: Famalicao
W D W W W L
Kick Off: 05-10-2025 17:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW
Arouca and Famalicao face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Famalicao scored 1.26 goals and conceded 1.26 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Famalicao is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.20%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Famalicao

Date Competition Match
08-03-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Famalicao - (HT -) Arouca
05-10-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Arouca - (HT -) Famalicao
05-04-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Arouca 1-2 (HT 0-1) Famalicao
09-11-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Famalicao 0-0 (HT 0-0) Arouca
23-02-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Arouca 3-2 (HT 2-1) Famalicao
22-09-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Famalicao 1-0 (HT 1-0) Arouca
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 08-03-2026
Famalicao - (HT -) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 05-10-2025
Arouca - (HT -) Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga 05-04-2025
Arouca 1-2 (HT 0-1) Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga 09-11-2024
Famalicao 0-0 (HT 0-0) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 23-02-2024
Arouca 3-2 (HT 2-1) Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga 22-09-2023
Famalicao 1-0 (HT 1-0) Arouca