Football Prediction: FC Porto vs Benfica

FC Porto vs Benfica

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Dragon Stadium

2.40
W W D L D W

SCHEDULED -

1.96

W W W W D W

Kick Off: 05-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

FC Porto and Benfica face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Porto have scored an average of 1.97 goals and conceded average of 1.97 goals while Benfica scored 1.51 goals and conceded 1.38 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Porto vs Benfica is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63.26%

Head to Head Record - FC Porto vs. Benfica

Date	Competition	Match
08-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Benfica	- (HT -)	FC Porto
05-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Benfica
06-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	FC Porto	1-4 (HT 0-2)	Benfica
10-11-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Benfica	4-1 (HT 1-1)	FC Porto
03-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	FC Porto	5-0 (HT 2-0)	Benfica
29-09-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Benfica	1-0 (HT 0-0)	FC Porto

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-03-2026
Benfica	- (HT -)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-10-2025
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		06-04-2025
FC Porto	1-4 (HT 0-2)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-11-2024
Benfica	4-1 (HT 1-1)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-03-2024
FC Porto	5-0 (HT 2-0)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		29-09-2023
Benfica	1-0 (HT 0-0)	FC Porto