Football Prediction: Nacional vs Moreirense

Nacional vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

1.29
L D L D L W

SCHEDULED -

0.84

W D L D L L

Kick Off: 05-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Nacional and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Moreirense scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs Moreirense is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.01%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. Moreirense

Date	Competition	Match
08-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Nacional
05-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	Moreirense
27-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Moreirense	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Nacional
14-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Moreirense

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-03-2026
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-10-2025
Nacional	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		27-04-2025
Moreirense	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-12-2024
Nacional	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Moreirense