Football Prediction: Rio Ave vs Tondela

Rio Ave vs Tondela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio dos Arcos

1.09
D D W L L D

SCHEDULED -

1.04

L L D W W

Kick Off: 05-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Rio Ave and Tondela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Rio Ave have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Tondela scored 1.75 goals and conceded 1.75 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Rio Ave vs Tondela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.11%

Head to Head Record - Rio Ave vs. Tondela

Date	Competition	Match
08-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
05-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Tondela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-03-2026
Tondela	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-10-2025
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Tondela