Football Prediction: Benfica vs Arouca

Benfica vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

2.64
W W W W D W

SCHEDULED -

1.69

L W W D D L

Kick Off: 26-10-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Benfica and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 26th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Benfica have scored an average of 2.08 goals and conceded average of 2.08 goals while Arouca scored 1.44 goals and conceded 1.67 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Benfica vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.71%

Head to Head Record - Benfica vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
15-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	Benfica
26-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Benfica	- (HT -)	Arouca
13-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Benfica	2-2 (HT 0-0)	Arouca
01-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Benfica
12-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Benfica	5-0 (HT 3-0)	Arouca
06-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Benfica

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-03-2026
Arouca	- (HT -)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-10-2025
Benfica	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		13-04-2025
Benfica	2-2 (HT 0-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-12-2024
Arouca	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		12-05-2024
Benfica	5-0 (HT 3-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		06-01-2024
Arouca	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Benfica