Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Estrela vs Rio Ave

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jose Gomes

This is Logo of Home Team: Estrela 1.41
D D L D L L
SCHEDULED -
1.14 This is Logo of Away Team: Rio Ave
D D D D D W
Kick Off: 25-10-2025 22:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW
Estrela and Rio Ave face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 25th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estrela have scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded average of 1.17 goals while Rio Ave scored 0.93 goals and conceded 1.56 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estrela vs Rio Ave is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.06%

Head to Head Record - Estrela vs. Rio Ave

Date Competition Match
15-03-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Rio Ave - (HT -) Estrela
25-10-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Estrela - (HT -) Rio Ave
05-05-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Rio Ave 2-0 (HT 0-0) Estrela
23-12-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Estrela 1-0 (HT 1-0) Rio Ave
14-04-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Estrela 2-2 (HT 1-1) Rio Ave
02-12-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Rio Ave 1-1 (HT 0-0) Estrela
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 15-03-2026
Rio Ave - (HT -) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 25-10-2025
Estrela - (HT -) Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga 05-05-2025
Rio Ave 2-0 (HT 0-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 23-12-2024
Estrela 1-0 (HT 1-0) Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga 14-04-2024
Estrela 2-2 (HT 1-1) Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga 02-12-2023
Rio Ave 1-1 (HT 0-0) Estrela