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Arouca vs Moreirense - Portugal Primeira Liga Prediction
Sunday 28th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time. Now is 18:45 UTC

Arouca vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Arouca 1.06
W L D D L W
SCHEDULED -
1.21 This is Logo of Away Team: Moreirense
W L W L W W
Kick Off: 02-11-2025 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW
Arouca and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 2nd of November 2025. The two teams have met 4 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.25 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Moreirense scored 1.00 goals and conceded 1.38 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Moreirense is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.49%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Moreirense

Date Competition Match
22-03-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Moreirense - (HT -) Arouca
02-11-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Arouca - (HT -) Moreirense
24-01-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Arouca 1-0 (HT 0-0) Moreirense
18-08-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Moreirense 3-1 (HT 2-1) Arouca
17-03-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Moreirense 1-0 (HT 1-0) Arouca
27-10-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Arouca 0-1 (HT 0-1) Moreirense
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 22-03-2026
Moreirense - (HT -) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 02-11-2025
Arouca - (HT -) Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga 24-01-2025
Arouca 1-0 (HT 0-0) Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga 18-08-2024
Moreirense 3-1 (HT 2-1) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 17-03-2024
Moreirense 1-0 (HT 1-0) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 27-10-2023
Arouca 0-1 (HT 0-1) Moreirense
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