Football Prediction: Alverca vs Rio Ave

Alverca vs Rio Ave

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

3.01
L D L L D W

SCHEDULED -

1.79

D D D D D W

Kick Off: 08-11-2025 16:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Alverca and Rio Ave face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 8th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Alverca have scored an average of 3.80 goals and conceded average of 3.80 goals while Rio Ave scored 0.93 goals and conceded 1.56 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Alverca vs Rio Ave is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 85.63%

Head to Head Record - Alverca vs. Rio Ave

Date	Competition	Match
04-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Alverca
08-11-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
23-11-2024	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2024	Alverca	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-04-2026
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Alverca
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-11-2025
Alverca	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Taça de Portugal		23-11-2024
Alverca	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave