Football Prediction: Tondela vs Guimaraes

Tondela vs Guimaraes

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Joocadoso Stadium

1.58
D L L L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.61

D L W L L L

Kick Off: 08-11-2025 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Tondela and Guimaraes face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 8th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Tondela have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Guimaraes scored 1.39 goals and conceded 1.21 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Tondela vs Guimaraes is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.85%

Head to Head Record - Tondela vs. Guimaraes

Date	Competition	Match
04-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Tondela
08-11-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Guimaraes

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-04-2026
Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-11-2025
Tondela	- (HT -)	Guimaraes