Football Prediction: Casa Pia vs Alverca

Casa Pia vs Alverca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Pina Manique

1.16
W L L W D L

SCHEDULED -

1.29

L L D W W D

Kick Off: 30-11-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Casa Pia and Alverca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 30th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Casa Pia have scored an average of 0.97 goals and conceded average of 0.97 goals while Alverca scored 1.33 goals and conceded 1.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Casa Pia vs Alverca is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 76.88%

Head to Head Record - Casa Pia vs. Alverca

Date	Competition	Match
12-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Casa Pia
30-11-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Alverca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		12-04-2026
Alverca	- (HT -)	Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga		30-11-2025
Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Alverca