Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Sporting CP vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jose Alvalade XXI

This is Logo of Home Team: Sporting CP 2.43
L W W W L D
SCHEDULED -
1.38 This is Logo of Away Team: Estrela
D D L D L L
Kick Off: 30-11-2025 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN
Sporting CP and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 30th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sporting CP have scored an average of 2.33 goals and conceded average of 2.33 goals while Estrela scored 0.53 goals and conceded 1.55 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sporting CP vs Estrela is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73.29%

Head to Head Record - Sporting CP vs. Estrela

Date Competition Match
12-04-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Estrela - (HT -) Sporting CP
30-11-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Sporting CP - (HT -) Estrela
29-03-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Estrela 0-3 (HT 0-0) Sporting CP
01-11-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Sporting CP 5-1 (HT 3-1) Estrela
29-03-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Estrela 1-2 (HT 1-2) Sporting CP
05-11-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Sporting CP 3-2 (HT 1-0) Estrela
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 12-04-2026
Estrela - (HT -) Sporting CP
Portugal Primeira Liga 30-11-2025
Sporting CP - (HT -) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 29-03-2025
Estrela 0-3 (HT 0-0) Sporting CP
Portugal Primeira Liga 01-11-2024
Sporting CP 5-1 (HT 3-1) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 29-03-2024
Estrela 1-2 (HT 1-2) Sporting CP
Portugal Primeira Liga 05-11-2023
Sporting CP 3-2 (HT 1-0) Estrela