Football Prediction: Alverca vs Nacional

Alverca vs Nacional

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

2.32
L L D W W D

SCHEDULED -

1.13

D L L D L D

Kick Off: 07-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Alverca and Nacional face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 7th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Alverca have scored an average of 4.50 goals and conceded average of 4.50 goals while Nacional scored 0.71 goals and conceded 1.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Alverca vs Nacional is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.76%

Head to Head Record - Alverca vs. Nacional

Date	Competition	Match
19-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	Alverca
07-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Nacional

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-04-2026
Nacional	- (HT -)	Alverca
Portugal Primeira Liga		07-12-2025
Alverca	- (HT -)	Nacional