Estoril vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

1.41
L L W L D L

SCHEDULED -

1.50

W L W L W W

Kick Off: 07-12-2025 16:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Away WIN

Estoril and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 7th of December 2025. The two teams have met 4 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.25 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estoril have scored an average of 1.35 goals and conceded average of 1.35 goals while Moreirense scored 1.00 goals and conceded 1.38 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estoril vs Moreirense is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.60%

Head to Head Record - Estoril vs. Moreirense

Date	Competition	Match
19-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Estoril
07-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estoril	- (HT -)	Moreirense
11-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Moreirense	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
28-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estoril	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Moreirense
18-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Moreirense	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
13-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estoril	1-3 (HT 0-2)	Moreirense

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-04-2026
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		07-12-2025
Estoril	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		11-05-2025
Moreirense	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-12-2024
Estoril	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-05-2024
Moreirense	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		13-01-2024
Estoril	1-3 (HT 0-2)	Moreirense

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