Football Prediction: Tondela vs FC Porto

Tondela vs FC Porto

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Joocadoso Stadium

0.82
D L L L L L

SCHEDULED -

0.93

W W W W D L

Kick Off: 07-12-2025 21:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Tondela and FC Porto face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 7th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Tondela have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while FC Porto scored 1.45 goals and conceded 1.12 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Tondela vs FC Porto is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 74.57%

Head to Head Record - Tondela vs. FC Porto

Date	Competition	Match
19-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Tondela
07-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	FC Porto

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-04-2026
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga		07-12-2025
Tondela	- (HT -)	FC Porto