Football Prediction: Arouca vs Alverca

Arouca vs Alverca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

1.71
D D L W W D

SCHEDULED -

1.78

L D L L D W

Kick Off: 14-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Arouca and Alverca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 14th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Alverca scored 1.50 goals and conceded 1.50 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Alverca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.68%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Alverca

Date	Competition	Match
26-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Arouca
14-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	Alverca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-04-2026
Alverca	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-12-2025
Arouca	- (HT -)	Alverca