Football Prediction: FC Porto vs Estrela

FC Porto vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Dragon Stadium

1.60
W W W W D L

SCHEDULED -

0.68

D D L D L L

Kick Off: 14-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

FC Porto and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 14th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.25 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Porto have scored an average of 1.99 goals and conceded average of 1.99 goals while Estrela scored 0.53 goals and conceded 1.55 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Porto vs Estrela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.27%

Head to Head Record - FC Porto vs. Estrela

Date	Competition	Match
26-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estrela	- (HT -)	FC Porto
14-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Estrela
26-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estrela	2-0 (HT 1-0)	FC Porto
16-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	FC Porto	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Estrela
17-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	FC Porto	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Estrela
15-09-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estrela	0-1 (HT 0-1)	FC Porto

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-04-2026
Estrela	- (HT -)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-12-2025
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-04-2025
Estrela	2-0 (HT 1-0)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-12-2024
FC Porto	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-02-2024
FC Porto	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-09-2023
Estrela	0-1 (HT 0-1)	FC Porto