Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

FC Porto vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Dragon Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: FC Porto 1.60
W W W W D L
SCHEDULED -
0.68 This is Logo of Away Team: Estrela
D D L D L L
Kick Off: 14-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN
FC Porto and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 14th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.25 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Porto have scored an average of 1.99 goals and conceded average of 1.99 goals while Estrela scored 0.53 goals and conceded 1.55 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Porto vs Estrela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.27%

Head to Head Record - FC Porto vs. Estrela

Date Competition Match
26-04-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Estrela - (HT -) FC Porto
14-12-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 FC Porto - (HT -) Estrela
26-04-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Estrela 2-0 (HT 1-0) FC Porto
16-12-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 FC Porto 2-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
17-02-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 FC Porto 2-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
15-09-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Estrela 0-1 (HT 0-1) FC Porto
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 26-04-2026
Estrela - (HT -) FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 14-12-2025
FC Porto - (HT -) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 26-04-2025
Estrela 2-0 (HT 1-0) FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 16-12-2024
FC Porto 2-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 17-02-2024
FC Porto 2-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 15-09-2023
Estrela 0-1 (HT 0-1) FC Porto