Football Prediction: Nacional vs Tondela

Nacional vs Tondela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

1.66
D L L D L D

SCHEDULED -

1.68

L L L L D W

Kick Off: 14-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Nacional and Tondela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 14th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Tondela scored 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs Tondela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.20%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. Tondela

Date	Competition	Match
26-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Nacional
14-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	Tondela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-04-2026
Tondela	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-12-2025
Nacional	- (HT -)	Tondela